Considerations for Building Climate-based Species Distribution Models
Florida scrub jay (Aphelocoma coerulescens).
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Climate Change
Wildlife Management


How to Cite

Bucklin, David N., Mathieu Basille, Stephanie S. Romañach, Lauren A. Brandt, Frank J. Mazzotti, and James I. Watling. 2016. “Considerations for Building Climate-Based Species Distribution Models: WEC375/UW420, 8/2016”. EDIS 2016 (8). Gainesville, FL:8.


Climate plays an important role in the distribution of species. A given species may adjust to new conditions in-place, move to new areas with suitable climates, or go extinct. Scientists and conservation practitioners use mathematical models to predict the effects of future climate change on wildlife and plan for a biodiverse future. This 8-page fact sheet explains how, with a better understanding of species distribution models, we can predict how species may respond to climate change. The models alone cannot tell us how a certain species will actually respond to changes in climate, but they can inform conservation planning that aims to allow species to both adapt in place and (for those that are able to) move to newly suitable areas. Such planning will likely minimize loss of biodiversity due to climate change. Written by David N. Bucklin, Mathieu Basille, Stephanie S. Romañach, Laura A. Brandt, Frank J. Mazzotti, and James I. Watling, and published by the Department of Wildlife Ecology and Conservation, August 2016.

WEC375/UW420: Considerations for Building Climate-based Species Distribution Models (
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