Considerations for Building Climate-based Species Distribution Models
Florida scrub jay (Aphelocoma coerulescens).
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Keywords

Climate Change
Wildlife Management
UW420

Categories

How to Cite

Bucklin, David N., Mathieu Basille, Stephanie S. Romañach, Lauren A. Brandt, Frank J. Mazzotti, and James I. Watling. 2016. “Considerations for Building Climate-Based Species Distribution Models: WEC375/UW420, 8/2016”. EDIS 2016 (8). Gainesville, FL:8. https://doi.org/10.32473/edis-uw420-2016.

Abstract

Climate plays an important role in the distribution of species. A given species may adjust to new conditions in-place, move to new areas with suitable climates, or go extinct. Scientists and conservation practitioners use mathematical models to predict the effects of future climate change on wildlife and plan for a biodiverse future. This 8-page fact sheet explains how, with a better understanding of species distribution models, we can predict how species may respond to climate change. The models alone cannot tell us how a certain species will actually respond to changes in climate, but they can inform conservation planning that aims to allow species to both adapt in place and (for those that are able to) move to newly suitable areas. Such planning will likely minimize loss of biodiversity due to climate change. Written by David N. Bucklin, Mathieu Basille, Stephanie S. Romañach, Laura A. Brandt, Frank J. Mazzotti, and James I. Watling, and published by the Department of Wildlife Ecology and Conservation, August 2016.

WEC375/UW420: Considerations for Building Climate-based Species Distribution Models (ufl.edu)

https://doi.org/10.32473/edis-uw420-2016
view on EDIS
PDF-2016

References

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Watling, J.I., S.S. Romañach, D.N. Bucklin, C. Speroterra, L.A. Brandt, L.G. Pearlstine, and F.J. Mazzotti. 2012. "Do bioclimate variables improve performance of climate envelope models?" Ecological Modelling 246: 79-85. DOI:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2012.07.018 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2012.07.018

Watling, J.I., R.J Fletcher, C. Speroterra, D.N. Bucklin, L.A. Brandt, S.S. Romañach, L.G. Pearlstine, Y. Escribano, and F.J. Mazzotti. 2014. "Assessing Effects of Variation in Global Climate Data Sets on Spatial Predictions from Climate Envelope Models." Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management 5(1): 14-25. DOI:10.3996/072012-JFWM-056 https://doi.org/10.3996/072012-JFWM-056

Watling, J.I., L.A. Brandt, D.N. Bucklin, I. Fujisaki, F.J. Mazzotti, S.S. Romañach, and C. Speroterra. 2015. "Performance metrics and variance partitioning reveal sources of uncertainty in species distribution models." Ecological Modelling 309-310: 48-59. DOI:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.03.017 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.03.017
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